Explain how an increase in foreign demand for a country's exports may affect the value of its currency under a floating exchange rate system.
Using real-world examples, evaluate the consequences of an appreciation of a currency for a country's economy.
Explain how differences between domestic and foreign inflation rates may cause a currency to depreciate.
Using real-world examples, discuss whether depreciation of a currency is likely to improve a country's macroeconomic performance.
Explain how a central bank may maintain a fixed exchange rate when there is downward pressure on its currency.
Using real-world examples, evaluate the challenges a government and central bank may face when maintaining a fixed exchange rate.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Ardia operates a floating exchange rate. Strong overseas demand for its coffee increased export revenue, while foreign firms invested in new processing plants. Both developments increased demand for the ard, Ardia’s currency.
The appreciation made imported machinery cheaper but reduced the price competitiveness of Ardia’s manufactured exports. Manufacturers have warned that employment may fall.
A fall in world coffee prices later reduced demand for the ard. At the same time, rising household incomes increased expenditure on imports, placing further downward pressure on the currency and causing a depreciation.
Ardia imports most of its fuel. Businesses expect the weaker ard to increase production costs and consumer prices, although exporters expect higher sales.
Exchange rate for the ard
| Year | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per ard |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.50 |
| 2026 | 2.20 |
Price of one imported machine in 2026.
| Year | Price / foreign dollars per machine |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 44 000 |
Define the term floating exchange rate indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).
Define the term depreciation indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage change in the value of the ard between 2025 and 2026.
Using Table 2 and the 2026 exchange rate in Table 1, calculate the price of one imported machine in ard.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how increased foreign demand for Ardia’s coffee may cause the ard to appreciate (Text A, paragraph 1).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how Ardia’s rising expenditure on imports may cause the ard to depreciate (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how depreciation of the ard may affect Ardia’s real output through net exports (Text B).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how depreciation of the ard may cause cost-push inflation (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss the likely effects of depreciation of the ard on Ardia’s economy.
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Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Many Belvarian citizens work abroad and send remittances to their families. When these funds are converted into bels, demand for Belvar’s currency increases.
Interest rates in Belvar were recently reduced below those in neighbouring economies. Some investors sold bel-denominated bonds to purchase foreign financial assets.
The bel operates under a managed exchange rate. The central bank permits market movements but intervenes when the exchange rate approaches the limits of an announced band.
Following the interest-rate reduction, the bel approached the lower limit. The central bank considered purchasing bels with its foreign reserves. Imported medicines and food account for a large share of household expenditure. Many Belvarian firms also rely on imported fuel, raw materials and components.
Exchange rate of the bel before and after the interest-rate reduction.
| Period | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per bel |
|---|---|
| Before interest-rate reduction | 1.60 |
| After interest-rate reduction | 1.44 |
Foreign-currency remittance received by a Belvarian household.
| Recipient | Remittance / foreign dollars | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per bel |
|---|---|---|
| Household | 2 880 | 1.44 |
Define the term remittances indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).
Define the term managed exchange rate indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage change in the value of the bel.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the remittance received by the household in bels.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how inward remittances may affect the value of the bel (Text A, paragraph 1).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how lower relative interest rates may cause the bel to depreciate (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using a managed exchange rate diagram, explain how Belvar’s central bank could prevent the bel from falling below the lower limit (Text B).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how a depreciation of the bel may affect Belvar’s inflation rate (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether central bank intervention to support the bel is likely to benefit Belvar’s economy.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Doren’s inflation rate has remained above that of its trading partners. Dorenian goods have become relatively expensive, reducing export sales and increasing demand for imports.
These transactions have reduced demand for the dor and increased its supply. The dor has experienced an appreciation in some months and depreciation in others.
Traders now expect further depreciation and are engaging in currency speculation. Some are selling dors immediately in anticipation of buying them back later at a lower price.
The central bank is considering an interest-rate increase. Businesses warn that dearer credit could reduce investment, while consumers are concerned about imported inflation.
Exchange rate of the dor
| Period | Exchange rate / crowns per dor |
|---|---|
| Before depreciation | 5.00 |
| After depreciation | 4.25 |
Foreign-currency price of an imported medicine shipment.
| Item | Price / crowns |
|---|---|
| Medicine shipment | 85 000 |
Define the term appreciation indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 2).
Define the term currency speculation indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage change in the value of the dor.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the domestic price of the medicine shipment in dors after the depreciation.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how Doren’s higher relative inflation may cause the dor to depreciate (Text A).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how expectations of depreciation may become self-reinforcing (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how an increase in Doren’s interest rate may affect the dor (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how depreciation of the dor may affect Doren’s real output through imported production costs.
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether raising interest rates is an appropriate response to depreciation of the dor.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Ilyria receives substantial inward remittances. These transfers support household consumption and normally increase demand for the ilyr when converted into domestic currency.
A recession abroad reduced migrant employment and remittance receipts. The ilyr began to depreciate under Ilyria’s floating exchange rate.
The weaker ilyr may increase the current account balance by making tourism and agricultural exports more competitive. However, Ilyria imports most of its fuel and medical equipment.
The government expects both demand-pull and cost-push inflation. Low-income households spend a large share of income on imported necessities.
Exchange rate of the ilyr before and after the fall in remittance receipts.
| Period | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per ilyr |
|---|---|
| Before depreciation | 2.40 |
| After depreciation | 2.04 |
Price of imported medical equipment and exchange rate after depreciation.
| Equipment price / foreign dollars | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per ilyr |
|---|---|
| 102 000 | 2.04 |
Define the term floating exchange rate indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 2).
Define the term current account balance indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage depreciation of the ilyr.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the price of the equipment in ilyrs after depreciation.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how falling remittance receipts may cause the ilyr to depreciate (Text A).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how depreciation may cause demand-pull inflation in Ilyria (Text B).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how depreciation may cause cost-push inflation in Ilyria (Text B).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how increased foreign demand for Ilyrian tourism may affect the ilyr (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether depreciation of the ilyr is likely to improve Ilyria’s economic welfare.
Mirana operates a managed exchange-rate system. Its central bank has kept the mira below its unrestricted market value to support manufactured exports. To prevent appreciation, the central bank sells miras and purchases euros.
Information about Mirana's exchange rate and related economic data.
| Item | Information |
|---|---|
| Unrestricted market exchange rate | euros per mira |
| Managed exchange rate | euros per mira |
| Central bank intervention | Sells million miras per year |
| Exported appliance price | miras |
| Imported component price | euros |
| Manufacturing employment | workers |
| Imported goods in consumption basket |
Consumer groups argue that the policy reduces living standards by raising the prices of imported food, medicine and production inputs. Export manufacturers state that it protects employment.
Define the term undervalued currency.
Calculate the euro price of the exported appliance at the managed exchange rate.
Calculate the increase in Mirana's foreign-currency reserves resulting from the central bank's sale of miras.
Calculate how much more the imported component costs in miras at the managed rate than it would at the unrestricted market rate.
Draw a foreign-exchange market diagram showing how Mirana's central bank prevents the mira from appreciating above the managed rate.
Explain how the undervalued mira may affect economic growth and unemployment in Mirana.
Explain how maintaining the undervalued mira may affect living standards in Mirana.
Using the text/data provided and your knowledge of economics, recommend whether Mirana should continue maintaining an undervalued managed exchange rate.
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Explain how an overvalued currency may be maintained in a managed exchange rate system.
Using real-world examples, discuss the consequences of maintaining an overvalued currency.
Explain how a central bank may prevent its currency from appreciating beyond the upper limit of a managed exchange rate system.
Using real-world examples, evaluate the use of an undervalued currency as a means of increasing economic growth and employment.
Explain how changes in relative interest rates and expectations may affect a floating exchange rate.
Using real-world examples, examine the effects of exchange rate volatility on firms, households and the wider economy.
Explain how a floating exchange rate may act as an adjustment mechanism when a country experiences a current account deficit.
Using real-world examples, evaluate the view that a floating exchange rate system is preferable to a fixed exchange rate system.
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Explain how speculation may destabilize a fixed exchange rate that market participants believe is overvalued.
Using real-world examples, evaluate the view that a country should abandon a fixed exchange rate when its currency becomes persistently overvalued.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Costara maintains a fixed exchange rate against the sol. Lower tourism receipts and increased food imports have reduced demand for the costa and increased its supply.
At the official rate, there is excess supply of costas. The central bank has been using foreign-currency reserves to maintain the peg, but its reserves are falling.
The central bank raised interest rates to attract portfolio investment. This has reduced borrowing and investment during a period of high unemployment.
Some economists recommend a devaluation. Exporters support the proposal, while households are concerned about the prices of imported food and fuel and the domestic cost of foreign-currency debt.
Costara’s official exchange rate before and after the proposed change.
| Exchange-rate status | Exchange rate / sols per costa |
|---|---|
| Current official peg | 0.80 |
| Proposed official peg | 0.68 |
Foreign-currency debt repayment due by Costara.
| Repayment due | Amount / million sols |
|---|---|
| Foreign-currency debt repayment | 3.4 |
Define the term fixed exchange rate indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).
Define the term devaluation indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage devaluation proposed for the costa.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the debt repayment in costas after the proposed devaluation.
Using a fixed exchange rate diagram, explain how Costara’s central bank can maintain the current peg when there is excess supply of costas (Text A).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how higher interest rates may support the costa (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how the higher interest rates used to defend the costa may affect real output (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how the proposed devaluation may affect Costara’s average price level (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether Costara should devalue the costa.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Estavia discovered a large lithium deposit. Overseas companies announced new foreign direct investment in mines and battery plants, increasing demand for the esta.
The esta appreciated. Imported machinery and fuel became cheaper, but exporters of clothing and agricultural goods reported declining orders.
Lower import prices have reduced inflation and increased households’ purchasing power. Foreign travel has also become cheaper, improving some measures of living standards.
However, export firms are reducing employment. The government is concerned that slower export growth will reduce aggregate demand and real GDP.
Exchange rate of the esta before and after appreciation.
| Period | Exchange rate / euros per esta |
|---|---|
| Before appreciation | 0.50 |
| After appreciation | 0.60 |
Foreign price of mining equipment
| Item | Foreign price / euros |
|---|---|
| Mining equipment | €120 000 |
Define the term foreign direct investment indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).
Define the term living standards indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage change in the value of the esta.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the price of the mining equipment in estas after the appreciation.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how inward FDI may cause the esta to appreciate (Text A).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how appreciation of the esta may affect Estavia’s inflation rate through imported inputs (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how appreciation of the esta may affect real output through net exports (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using a labour market diagram, explain how appreciation of the esta may increase unemployment in export industries (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether appreciation of the esta is likely to improve living standards in Estavia.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Faron’s central bank manages the far below its estimated free-market equilibrium. The far is therefore an undervalued currency. The policy is intended to support textile exports and employment.
At the managed rate, demand for fars exceeds supply. The central bank sells fars and purchases foreign currency, accumulating reserves.
Imported fuel, fertilizer and medicines are expensive in fars. Inflation has increased, reducing household purchasing power.
Trading partners claim that Faron has an artificial competitive advantage. The government is considering a revaluation of the far, but exporters fear declining sales.
Managed exchange rate of the far
| Exchange-rate scenario | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per far |
|---|---|
| Current managed rate | 3.00 |
| Proposed revalued rate | 3.30 |
Imported fuel shipment price in foreign currency.
| Item | Price / foreign dollars |
|---|---|
| Fuel shipment | $66,000 |
Define the term undervalued currency indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).
Define the term revaluation indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using Table 1, calculate the proposed percentage revaluation of the far.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the fuel shipment’s price in fars after the proposed revaluation.
Using a managed exchange rate diagram, explain why there is excess demand for fars at the undervalued rate (Text A).
Using a managed exchange rate diagram, explain how the central bank maintains the undervalued rate (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how undervaluation may support Faron’s employment (Text A, paragraph 1).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how undervaluation may contribute to inflation in Faron (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether Faron should revalue the far.
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Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Galena exports copper, which is priced in foreign dollars. A rise in world copper demand increased foreign demand for the gal, causing an appreciation.
Mining companies expanded production, but agricultural and tourism businesses reported that their exports had become less competitive.
The central bank reduced interest rates as economic growth slowed. Investors then increased outward portfolio investment, purchasing foreign shares and bonds.
These transactions placed downward pressure on the gal. The central bank does not target a fixed value but occasionally intervenes to reduce sharp fluctuations.
Exchange rate of the gal before and after appreciation.
| Period | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per gal |
|---|---|
| Before appreciation | 1.25 |
| After appreciation | 1.40 |
Price of a Galenian tourism package.
| Item | Price / gals |
|---|---|
| Tourism package | 2500 |
Define the term appreciation indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).
Define the term outward portfolio investment indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage appreciation of the gal.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the foreign-dollar price of the tourism package after the appreciation.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how higher foreign demand for copper may cause the gal to appreciate (Text A).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how outward portfolio investment may affect the gal (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how appreciation of the gal may affect Galena’s tourism output (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how Galena’s central bank could restrain a rapid appreciation of the gal (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss the likely consequences of appreciation of the gal for Galena’s economy.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Hesper fixes the hes against the euro. The official rate is above the rate that unrestricted demand and supply would determine, making the hes an overvalued currency.
Imports are cheap, but fruit and manufactured exports are expensive overseas. At the official rate, there is excess supply of hes, and reserve assets are declining.
The government introduced exchange controls, limiting the amount of foreign currency households and firms may purchase. A parallel foreign-exchange market has emerged.
Businesses report shortages of imported inputs. Some economists recommend lowering the official exchange rate, while others fear inflation and higher foreign-debt repayments.
Official and proposed exchange rates for the hes.
| Rate type | Exchange rate / EUR per hes |
|---|---|
| Official rate | 0.90 |
| Proposed rate | 0.72 |
Table 2 — Price of imported components
| Imported item | Price / EUR |
|---|---|
| Components | 36 000 |
Define the term overvalued currency indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).
Define the term exchange controls indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage reduction in the official value of the hes under the proposal.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the domestic price of the imported components after the proposed change.
Using a fixed exchange rate diagram, explain why overvaluation creates excess supply of hes (Text A).
Using a fixed exchange rate diagram, explain how Hesper’s central bank maintains the overvalued rate (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how the overvalued hes may affect Hesper’s real output through net exports (Text A).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how devaluation may affect Hesper’s inflation rate (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether Hesper should devalue the hes rather than continue using reserves and exchange controls.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Oil provides most of Juno’s export revenue. A fall in the world oil price reduced foreign demand for the jun, leading to a depreciation.
Juno also imports food, machinery and refined fuel. The weaker currency has increased firms’ costs and household prices.
The central bank used central bank intervention, buying juns with foreign reserves. It also considered increasing interest rates to attract financial inflows.
Manufacturers argue that the weaker jun could help diversify exports. However, businesses with foreign-currency loans face larger repayments in juns.
Exchange rate of the jun before and after the fall in oil export revenue.
| Period | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per jun |
|---|---|
| Before depreciation | 0.75 |
| After depreciation | 0.60 |
Foreign-currency loan repayment before conversion into juns.
| Foreign-currency repayment / million foreign dollars | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per jun |
|---|---|
| 1.2 | 0.60 |
Define the term depreciation indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).
Define the term central bank intervention indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage depreciation of the jun.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the repayment in juns after depreciation.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how falling oil export revenue may cause the jun to depreciate (Text A).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how the central bank’s purchases of juns may support the currency (Text B).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how depreciation may affect Juno’s real output through imported inputs (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how depreciation may support Juno’s manufacturing exports (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether Juno’s central bank should continue intervening to support the jun.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Kalmia’s rapid economic growth raised household income and demand for imports, increasing the supply of kalms in the foreign-exchange market.
At the same time, technology firms attracted inward investment. Foreign purchases of shares and bonds created substantial portfolio investment inflows and increased demand for kalms.
The central bank operates a managed exchange rate within an unpublished range. It sells kalms when appreciation is rapid and buys kalms when depreciation is rapid.
Exporters favour a weaker currency, while households and firms using imported computers and machinery favour a stronger currency.
Exchange rate of the kalm
| Period | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per kalm |
|---|---|
| Before appreciation | 4.00 |
| After appreciation | 4.40 |
Imported computer price in foreign currency and exchange rate after appreciation.
| Item | Price / foreign dollars | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per kalm |
|---|---|---|
| Imported computer | 2200 | 4.40 |
For comparisons involving prices, assume that the foreign-currency price of the computer and other imported capital goods remains unchanged before and after the appreciation.
Define the term portfolio investment indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 2).
Define the term managed exchange rate indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage appreciation of the kalm.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the computer’s price in kalms after appreciation.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how faster economic growth may place downward pressure on the kalm (Text A, paragraph 1).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how inward portfolio investment may affect the kalm (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using a managed exchange rate diagram, explain how the central bank can restrain appreciation of the kalm (Text B).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how appreciation of the kalm may affect Kalmia’s potential output through imported capital goods (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether Kalmia’s central bank should restrain appreciation of the kalm.
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The sol is the floating currency of Soland. During 2025, Soland experienced higher inflation than its main trading partners. It also imports most of its oil and industrial machinery. Table 1 provides exchange-rate and trade information.
Table 1: Exchange-rate and trade information for Soland, 2025.
| Item | January 2025 | December 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchange rate / crowns per sol | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| Imported machine price / crowns | — | 168000 |
| Oil-import cost / crowns | 96000000 | 96000000 |
| Export receipts / crowns | 50000000 | 54000000 |
Manufacturers have warned that the weaker sol is increasing their costs. Exporters, however, report rising foreign demand. Soland's government wants to reduce inflation without causing a large rise in unemployment.
Define the term depreciation of a currency.
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage change in the value of the sol between January and December 2025.
Calculate the December price of the imported machine in sols.
Calculate the increase in the domestic-currency cost of Soland's oil imports between January and December 2025.
Draw a foreign-exchange market diagram showing a possible cause of the depreciation of the sol arising from Soland's relatively high inflation.
Explain how the depreciation of the sol may cause cost-push inflation in Soland.
Explain why the depreciation may improve Soland's current account balance only after a time lag.
Using the text/data provided and your knowledge of economics, recommend a policy that Soland's government or central bank should use to reduce inflation caused by the depreciation of the sol.
Arinia fixes the arin against the US dollar. Falling export demand and capital outflows have created downward pressure on the arin. The central bank has been using its foreign-currency reserves to maintain the peg.
Arinia’s fixed exchange-rate information
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Official exchange rate | 0.80 US dollars per arin |
| Weekly demand for arins at official rate | 620 million arins |
| Weekly supply of arins at official rate | 780 million arins |
| Foreign-currency reserves | 3.84 billion US dollars |
| Proposed new exchange rate | 0.68 US dollars per arin |
| Outstanding foreign-currency debt | 2.40 billion US dollars |
Several Arinian firms and the government have debts denominated in US dollars. The economy is experiencing low growth, but the central bank is considering higher interest rates to support the peg.
Define the term devaluation.
Calculate the weekly excess supply of arins at the official exchange rate.
Assuming the weekly excess supply remains unchanged, calculate how many weeks the central bank could maintain the peg using its existing foreign-currency reserves.
Calculate the change in the arin value of the foreign-currency debt if the currency is devalued to the proposed new peg.
Draw a foreign-exchange market diagram showing how Arinia's central bank maintains the existing fixed exchange rate when there is excess supply of arins.
Explain how an increase in Arinia's interest rate may support the fixed exchange rate.
Explain how devaluation of the arin may affect inflation and real output in Arinia.
Using the text/data provided and your knowledge of economics, recommend a policy for restoring the sustainability of Arinia's exchange-rate system.
Dinara has experienced large inflows of foreign direct investment into its mineral sector. These inflows have contributed to an appreciation of its floating currency, the dinar. Export manufacturers outside the mineral sector report declining sales, while firms importing machinery have benefited.
Table 1: Information about Dinara
| Item | Before appreciation | After appreciation | Units / details |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exchange rate | 6.40 | 7.20 | pesos per dinar |
| Export units sold | 80000 | 70000 | units |
| Domestic price per export unit | 900 | 900 | dinars |
| Imported machinery price | 720000 | 720000 | pesos |
| Foreign direct investment | 400 million | — | pesos converted into dinars |
The government wants to diversify production and is concerned that continued appreciation will increase unemployment in manufacturing.
Define the term appreciation of a currency.
Calculate the percentage appreciation of the dinar.
Calculate the reduction in the dinar price of the imported machinery following the appreciation.
Calculate the change in the manufacturer's export revenue measured in dinars.
Draw a foreign-exchange market diagram showing how the foreign direct investment may have caused the dinar to appreciate.
Explain how appreciation of the dinar may affect aggregate demand and unemployment in Dinara.
Explain how appreciation of the dinar may affect living standards in Dinara.
Using the text/data provided and your knowledge of economics, recommend a policy that Dinara's government or central bank should use to address the effects of the dinar's appreciation on manufacturing.
Explain why maintaining a fixed exchange rate may limit a central bank's ability to use monetary policy to achieve domestic macroeconomic objectives.
Using real-world examples, discuss whether exchange rate stability is more important than monetary policy independence.
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Explain how a managed exchange rate system combines market determination with central bank intervention.
Using real-world examples, to what extent does a managed exchange rate system provide the benefits of both fixed and floating exchange rates?
Explain how a devaluation of a fixed exchange rate may affect aggregate demand and short-run aggregate supply.
Using real-world examples, evaluate the effectiveness of devaluation in correcting a current account deficit.
Explain why faster economic growth may cause either appreciation or depreciation of a country's currency under a floating exchange rate system.
Using real-world examples, examine whether an economy exposed to frequent external shocks should adopt a floating rather than a fixed exchange rate.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Lydora’s tourism industry recovered rapidly after international travel restrictions ended. Foreign visitors purchased lyds to pay for accommodation and services, causing the currency to appreciate.
The stronger lyd reduced the domestic price of imported energy. However, tourism businesses fear that further appreciation will make holidays in Lydora too expensive.
The central bank is considering selling lyds to purchase foreign currency. Such central bank intervention would increase the supply of lyds and limit appreciation.
The government must consider exporters, importers, workers and consumers. The effects on living standards may depend on employment, inflation, purchasing power and access to imported goods.
Exchange rate of the lyd before and after tourism recovery.
| Period | Exchange rate / foreign dollars per lyd |
|---|---|
| Before recovery | 1.80 |
| After recovery | 2.16 |
Price of a Lydoran holiday
| Item | Price / lyds |
|---|---|
| Lydoran holiday | 3000 |
Define the term central bank intervention indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 1).
Define the term living standards indicated in bold (Text B, paragraph 2).
Using Table 1, calculate the percentage appreciation of the lyd.
Using Tables 1 and 2, calculate the foreign-dollar price of the holiday after appreciation.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how the recovery in tourism caused the lyd to appreciate (Text A).
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how the proposed central bank intervention would limit appreciation (Text B, paragraph 1).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how appreciation of the lyd may affect Lydora’s inflation rate through imported energy prices (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how further appreciation may affect Lydora’s real output through tourism exports (Text A, paragraph 2).
Using information from the texts/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss whether Lydora’s central bank should intervene to prevent further appreciation of the lyd.
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Norland has a floating exchange rate. Its central bank increased interest rates to reduce inflation. Foreign investors initially purchased Norland's government bonds, but political uncertainty then led traders to expect a depreciation of the nor.
Table 1: Financial and exchange-rate information for Norland
| Item | Quantity / unit | Timing / details |
|---|---|---|
| Exchange rate | 1.30 US dollars per nor | Beginning of year |
| Exchange rate | 1.17 US dollars per nor | End of year |
| Foreign investment | 100 000 US dollars | Invested in a one-year Norland bond |
| Exchange rate | 1.25 US dollars per nor | When the Norland bond is purchased |
| Norland bond interest rate | 7% per year | One-year bond |
| Exchange rate | 1.15 US dollars per nor | At bond maturity |
| Equivalent US bond interest rate | 3% per year | One-year bond |
| Inward remittances | 240 million US dollars per year | Sent to Norland |
Norland also receives substantial remittances from citizens working abroad. The central bank is concerned that exchange-rate volatility may discourage investment and intensify inflation.
Define the term currency speculation.
Calculate the percentage change in the value of the nor over the year.
Calculate the foreign investor's percentage return in US dollars from investing in the Norland bond.
Explain why Norland's higher interest rate may not cause a sustained appreciation of the nor.
Draw a foreign-exchange market diagram showing the effect of expectations of depreciation on the market for nors.
Explain how inward remittances may affect the exchange rate of the nor.
Explain two consequences of depreciation of the nor for Norland's economy.
Using the text/data provided and your knowledge of economics, recommend a central-bank policy to reduce excessive exchange-rate volatility in Norland.
Islar is a small, highly trade-dependent economy. It fixes the isle against the crown, the currency of its largest trading partner. Domestic inflation has recently exceeded inflation in the trading partner, leaving the isle overvalued and creating persistent pressure on the peg.
Table 1: Selected economic information for Islar
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Official exchange rate | 2.00 crowns per isle |
| Unrestricted market rate | 1.70 crowns per isle |
| Monthly excess supply at official rate | 150 million isles per month |
| Foreign-currency reserves | 2 100 million crowns |
| Crown-denominated public debt | 1 200 million crowns |
| Annual food and fuel imports | 500 million crowns per year |
The central bank is considering devaluation or a move to a floating exchange rate. Food and fuel are mainly imported, and much of Islar's public debt is denominated in crowns.
Define the term fixed exchange rate system.
Using Table 1, explain why the isle is overvalued.
Assuming the monthly excess supply remains unchanged, calculate how many months the central bank can defend the peg using its foreign-currency reserves.
Calculate the percentage devaluation required to set the peg equal to the unrestricted market equilibrium rate.
Calculate the increase in the isle value of Islar's crown-denominated public debt following this devaluation.
Draw a foreign-exchange market diagram showing how Islar's central bank currently maintains the overvalued peg.
Explain why moving to a floating exchange rate may give Islar greater monetary-policy independence.
Using the text/data provided and your knowledge of economics, recommend whether Islar should retain a fixed exchange rate, devalue the isle, or adopt a floating exchange rate system.