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5.5: Break-even analysis

Master IB Business and Management 5.5: Break-even analysis with notes created by examiners and strictly aligned with the syllabus.

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IB Syllabus Requirements for Break-even analysis

5.5.1

Total contribution versus contribution per unit

5.5.2

A break-even chart and aspects of break-even analysis

5.5.3

Effects of changes in price or cost on break-even, profit and margin of safety

5.5.4

Limitations of break-even as a decision-making tool

5.5.1

TOTAL CONTRIBUTION VERSUS CONTRIBUTION PER UNIT

The idea of contribution

Contribution is the amount left from sales revenue after variable costs have been paid. It goes first towards covering fixed costs; anything left after that becomes profit. Contribution and profit aren’t the same. Profit remains only after both variable and fixed costs have been covered.

A fixed cost is a production cost that stays the same when output changes in the short run. Factory rent is one example. By contrast, a variable cost changes directly with the level of output, such as the raw materials used for each unit.

Contribution per unit=selling price per unit−variable cost per unit\text{Contribution per unit} = \text{selling price per unit} - \text{variable cost per unit}

For example, if a product sells for 40 and has a variable cost per unit of 15, each unit contributes 25 towards fixed costs and profit. Make sure the unit fits the context. It could be one pizza, one ticket, one subscription, one passenger or one training place. In break-even questions, working out the correct unit is often half the battle.

Total contribution

Total contribution=total revenue−total variable costs\text{Total contribution} = \text{total revenue} - \text{total variable costs}

The per-unit figure gives the same result:

Total contribution=contribution per unit×number of units sold\text{Total contribution} = \text{contribution per unit} \times \text{number of units sold}

After calculating total contribution, subtract fixed costs to find profit:

Profit=total contribution−fixed costs\text{Profit} = \text{total contribution} - \text{fixed costs}

The same profit calculation can be written as:

Profit=total revenue−total variable costs−fixed costs\text{Profit} = \text{total revenue} - \text{total variable costs} - \text{fixed costs}

The key distinction is that contribution initially ignores fixed costs, whereas profit includes all costs. A business may have a positive contribution but still make a loss when that contribution isn’t enough to cover its fixed costs.

5.5.2

A BREAK-EVEN CHART AND ASPECTS OF BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS

Break-even quantity and break-even point

Break-even quantity is the output level where total revenue equals total costs. At this level, the business makes neither a profit nor a loss. Break-even point is where the total revenue line and total cost line cross on a break-even chart.

Calculate the break-even quantity using:

Break-even quantity=fixed costscontribution per unit\text{Break-even quantity} = \frac{\text{fixed costs}}{\text{contribution per unit}}

When the answer isn't a whole unit, round it up to the next whole unit because a business normally cannot sell part of a unit. If it sells slightly less than the calculated break-even quantity, it will still make a loss.

Constructing the break-even chart

A break-even chart is a graph showing total revenue, fixed costs and total costs at different output levels. It allows break-even, profit, loss and margin of safety to be read visually. Output or sales volume goes on the horizontal axis, while the vertical axis shows revenue and costs in the relevant currency.

On a standard break-even chart:

  • the fixed cost line is horizontal because fixed costs do not change with output in the short run
  • the total cost line begins at the fixed cost value, then rises as variable costs are added
  • the total revenue line begins at zero and rises with each unit sold
  • the break-even point occurs where total revenue equals total costs
  • the area before break-even represents loss
  • the area after break-even represents profit

Image

For an accurate chart, calculate enough values to plot all three lines to scale. Label both axes, the fixed cost line, total cost line, total revenue line and the break-even point. An incompletely labelled chart may look sensible, but it isn't yet a proper break-even chart.

Profit or loss

Profit is a positive financial result, occurring when total revenue is greater than total costs. Loss is a negative financial result that occurs when total costs are greater than total revenue.

Profit or loss can be found directly:

Profit or loss=total revenue−total costs\text{Profit or loss} = \text{total revenue} - \text{total costs}

Alternatively, use contribution:

Profit or loss=(contribution per unit×output sold)−fixed costs\text{Profit or loss} = (\text{contribution per unit} \times \text{output sold}) - \text{fixed costs}

A positive answer is profit; a negative answer is a loss. Do not call contribution “profit” unless fixed costs have also been deducted.

Margin of safety

Margin of safety is the amount by which current or expected output exceeds the break-even quantity. It shows how far sales can fall before the business begins making a loss.

Margin of safety=current output−break-even output\text{Margin of safety} = \text{current output} - \text{break-even output}

A larger margin of safety gives managers more comfort. With a small margin of safety, even a modest fall in sales could push the business below break-even.

Target profit output

Target profit output is the output level required to achieve a chosen amount of profit. The question is no longer “How many units to avoid loss?” but “How many units to earn the profit we want?”

Target profit output=fixed costs+target profitcontribution per unit\text{Target profit output} = \frac{\text{fixed costs} + \text{target profit}}{\text{contribution per unit}}

The formula works because contribution covers fixed costs first. Only the contribution left after that becomes profit.

Target profit

Target profit is the desired level of profit a business aims to earn over a given period or at a given output. When output is already known, managers can test the target by calculating the profit that output would generate:

Target profit=(contribution per unit×planned output)−fixed costs\text{Target profit} = (\text{contribution per unit} \times \text{planned output}) - \text{fixed costs}

They can then compare the result with the profit objective. If the calculated profit is too low, they may need a higher price, lower costs, more sales, or a different product mix.

Target price

Target price is the selling price per unit needed to cover costs and achieve a chosen profit at a planned output level.

One useful version is:

Target price=variable cost per unit+fixed costs+target profitplanned output\text{Target price} = \text{variable cost per unit} + \frac{\text{fixed costs} + \text{target profit}}{\text{planned output}}

Managers can use this when they know the planned output and desired profit but need to judge whether the required price is realistic in the market.

5.5.3

EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN PRICE OR COST ON BREAK-EVEN, PROFIT AND MARGIN OF SAFETY

Using the chart to see change

Break-even analysis becomes particularly useful when conditions change. A manager can redraw the relevant line on the break-even chart, then see straight away how break-even quantity, profit and margin of safety are affected.

Effects of price and cost changes on break-even

ChangeRevenue lineFixed cost lineTotal cost lineBreak-even quantity / unitsProfit at a given outputMargin of safety / units
Higher selling priceSteeperNo changeNo changeFallsRisesRises
Lower selling priceFlatterNo changeNo changeRisesFallsFalls
Higher fixed costsNo changeShifts upShifts upRisesFallsFalls
Lower fixed costsNo changeShifts downShifts downFallsRisesRises
Higher variable costNo changeNo changeSteeperRisesFallsFalls
Lower variable costNo changeNo changeFlatterFallsRisesRises

When the selling price rises, the total revenue line becomes steeper. Provided variable cost per unit and fixed costs remain unchanged, contribution per unit rises. Break-even quantity falls, while profit at a given output and the margin of safety both increase.

Cutting the selling price has the reverse effect: the total revenue line becomes flatter. Contribution per unit falls, break-even quantity rises and profit at a given output drops. The margin of safety also shrinks. That’s why discounting can be risky—more units may have to be sold just to stand still.

If fixed costs increase, the fixed cost line shifts upward. The total cost line rises by the same amount, but its slope stays unchanged because variable cost per unit hasn’t changed. Break-even quantity rises, while profit and the margin of safety fall.

Lower fixed costs do the opposite. Both the fixed cost line and the total cost line shift downward. Break-even quantity falls, profit rises and the margin of safety increases.

A rise in variable cost per unit makes the total cost line steeper. With less contribution per unit, the break-even quantity rises. Profit at a given output falls, as does the margin of safety.

When variable cost per unit decreases, the total cost line becomes flatter. Contribution per unit rises, so break-even quantity falls. Profit and the margin of safety increase.

Using calculations to measure change

To measure a change quantitatively, start by recalculating contribution per unit. Then recalculate break-even quantity, profit and margin of safety.

For a price change:

New contribution per unit=new selling price per unit−variable cost per unit\text{New contribution per unit} = \text{new selling price per unit} - \text{variable cost per unit}

For a variable cost change:

New contribution per unit=selling price per unit−new variable cost per unit\text{New contribution per unit} = \text{selling price per unit} - \text{new variable cost per unit}

Then use:

New break-even quantity=fixed costsnew contribution per unit\text{New break-even quantity} = \frac{\text{fixed costs}}{\text{new contribution per unit}}

and:

New profit or loss=(new contribution per unit×output sold)−fixed costs\text{New profit or loss} = (\text{new contribution per unit} \times \text{output sold}) - \text{fixed costs}

If fixed costs change, contribution per unit remains the same unless the price or variable cost changes too. The new break-even quantity is:

New break-even quantity=new fixed costscontribution per unit\text{New break-even quantity} = \frac{\text{new fixed costs}}{\text{contribution per unit}}

Then calculate the new margin of safety:

New margin of safety=current output−new break-even output\text{New margin of safety} = \text{current output} - \text{new break-even output}

Change is central to this topic. A break-even chart isn’t simply a static picture; managers can use it to test “what if?” before the business commits to a new price, a new supplier, a bigger premises, or a different production method.

5.5.4

LIMITATIONS OF BREAK-EVEN AS A DECISION-MAKING TOOL

Why managers should be careful

Break-even analysis helps managers make decisions; it doesn’t make those decisions for them. The figures and graph give a clear estimate, but any conclusion is only as sound as the assumptions used in the model.

One limitation is the usual assumption that relationships follow straight lines. In practice, total revenue may not rise in a perfect straight line because a business might have to cut its price to sell more units. Variable costs can shift too, perhaps because suppliers offer bulk discounts or overtime rates increase.

Break-even analysis also assumes that all output is sold. Yet a manufacturer may produce units that remain in stock, become obsolete, or have to be discounted later. The chart treats output and sales as the same thing, which isn’t always safe.

Another assumption is that costs divide neatly into fixed and variable costs. Some are semi-variable. Electricity, for example, may include a fixed standing charge plus a variable amount based on usage. Poor classification makes the break-even figure unreliable.

The method becomes harder to use when a business sells many products. A café, hotel or retailer may offer hundreds of items, each with different prices and variable costs. Managers can still use break-even analysis, but they must assume a constant sales mix. That assumption may not hold.

Demand receives little attention in the model. A target price might cover costs and produce the desired profit on paper, but customers may refuse to pay it. Likewise, a lower break-even quantity won’t help if the market is too small or competitors react aggressively.

Break-even analysis focuses on financial data, leaving out qualitative issues. Brand image and customer loyalty may matter, as can employee morale, ethics, sustainability and competitor behaviour. A sensible manager treats the analysis as one piece of evidence and combines it with market research and judgement.

Were those notes helpful?

5.4 Location

5.6 Production planning