A fair six-sided die is rolled twice. Let be the event that at least one of the two results is a .
Find .
In repetitions of this experiment, find the expected number of times event occurs.
0
Events and are mutually exclusive. It is given that , and .
Find the value of .
Determine whether and are independent. Justify your answer.
0
A bag contains red counters, blue counters and green counters. A counter is selected at random, its colour is recorded and it is then replaced. This is repeated three times.
Find the probability that at least one green counter is selected.
The experiment is carried out times. Find the expected number of experiments in which at least one green counter is selected.
0
Events and are such that , and .
Find .
Find .
Determine whether and are independent. Justify your answer.
0
A box contains white balls, black balls and red balls. Two balls are selected at random without replacement.
Find the probability that the two balls selected are the same colour.
Given that the two balls selected are the same colour, find the probability that they are both white.
0
In a group of students, study French, study German and study both French and German. One student is selected at random. Let be the event that the student studies French and be the event that the student studies German.
Find .
Find .
Determine whether and are independent. Justify your answer.
0
A disease is present in of a population. A test gives a positive result for of people who have the disease and for of people who do not have the disease. One person is selected at random and tested. Let be the event that the person has the disease and be the event that the test is positive.
Find .
Given that the test is positive, find the probability that the person has the disease.
0
A signal is sent using one of three channels, , and . The probabilities that the signal is sent using channels , and are , and respectively. The probabilities that an error occurs when channels , and are used are , and respectively. Let be the event that an error occurs.
Find .
Given that an error occurred, find the probability that channel was used.
Determine whether events and are independent. Justify your answer.
0
A fair four-sided spinner is numbered , , , . A fair six-sided die is numbered , , , , , . The spinner is spun once and the die is rolled once. The event is that the sum of the two numbers is a multiple of .
Find .
The experiment is repeated times. Find, to four decimal places, the probability that occurs at least once.
Find the expected number of occurrences of in repetitions of the experiment.
0
In a group of students, study chemistry, study biology, and study neither chemistry nor biology. Let be the event that a student studies chemistry and let be the event that a student studies biology.

Find the number of students who study both chemistry and biology.
Find .
Determine whether and are independent events. Give a reason for your answer.
0
A bag contains red balls, blue balls and green balls. Two balls are selected at random without replacement.
Find the probability that exactly one of the two balls is red.
Given that exactly one of the two balls is red, find the probability that the first ball selected is red.
Let be the event that the first ball is red and be the event that the second ball is red. Determine whether and are independent.
0
A company sells two types of calculators. A randomly selected calculator is graphing with probability . The probability that a graphing calculator is faulty is , and the probability that a non-graphing calculator is faulty is . Let be the event that the calculator is graphing and let be the event that it is faulty.

Find .
Find .
Given that a selected calculator is not faulty, find the probability that it is graphing.
0
A box is chosen at random from boxes , and with probabilities , and respectively. A ball is then selected from the chosen box. The probabilities of selecting a red ball from boxes , and are , and respectively. Let be the event that the selected ball is red.
Find .
Given that the selected ball is red, find the probability that it came from box .
Given that the selected ball is not red, find the probability that it came from box .
0
A container is chosen at random. Container is chosen with probability and container is chosen with probability . A counter is then selected from the chosen container. The probability that a red counter is selected from container is , and the probability that a red counter is selected from container is . It is given that, if the selected counter is red, the probability that it came from container is .
Determine the value of .
Using this value of , find the probability that the counter came from container , given that it is not red.
0
Events and form a partition of the sample space, with . An event is such that and . It is given that .
Determine the value of .
Hence determine whether and are independent. Justify your answer.
0
Three factories, , and , produce components for a company. The probabilities that a randomly selected component was produced by , and are , and respectively. The probabilities that a component is defective, given that it was produced by , and , are , and respectively. Let be the event that a randomly selected component is defective.
Find .
Given that the component is defective, find the probability that it was produced by .
Given that the component is not defective, find the probability that it was produced by .
0
Two events and are independent. It is given that and . Let .
Find the value of .
Find .
0
In a computer simulation of independent trials, an event occurred times. A theoretical model predicts that the probability of in one trial is .
Write down the relative frequency of in the simulation.
Using the theoretical model, find the expected number of occurrences of in trials.
Using the theoretical model, find the probability that occurs at least once in independent trials.
Find the least number of independent trials required for the probability that occurs at least once to exceed .
0
A disease affects of a population. A screening test gives a positive result for of people who have the disease and for of people who do not have the disease. A person is selected at random and tested.

Find the probability that the person tests positive.
Given that the person tests positive, find the probability that the person has the disease.
In a town of people, find the expected number of people who test positive but do not have the disease.
0
A factory has three machines, , and . Machine produces of the items, machine produces and machine produces the rest. The probabilities that an item is defective given that it was produced by , and are , and respectively.
Find the probability that a randomly selected item is defective.
Given that a selected item is defective, find the probability that it was produced by machine .
Determine whether the event that an item is defective is independent of the event that it was produced by machine .
0
Orders placed with an online shop come from three regions: north, east and south. The probabilities that an order comes from these regions are , and respectively. The probabilities that an order is late given that it is from north, east and south are , and respectively.
Given that an order is late, find the probability that it came from the east region.
Given that an order is not late, find the probability that it came from the north region.
Two orders are selected independently. Find the probability that exactly one of the two orders is late.
0
Passengers at an airport join one of three security queues, , and . The probabilities that a passenger joins , and are , and respectively. The probabilities that a passenger waits more than minutes given that they joined , and are , and respectively.
Find the probability that a randomly selected passenger waits more than minutes.
Given that a passenger waits more than minutes, find the probability that they joined .
Given that a passenger does not wait more than minutes, find the probability that they joined either or .
0
A bag contains eight tiles, each labelled with one letter from the word ANALYSIS. Three tiles are selected at random, one after another, without replacement.
Find the probability that the first tile selected is labelled .
Find the probability that the first two tiles selected are both labelled .
Find the probability that exactly one of the three tiles selected is labelled .
Given that exactly one of the three tiles selected is labelled , find the probability that the first tile selected is labelled . If you did not obtain an answer to part (b), use .
The experiment is repeated times. Find the expected number of times exactly one tile labelled is selected.
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In a school club of students, each student may attend drama rehearsals, coding sessions, both, or neither. Let be the event that a student attends drama rehearsals and be the event that a student attends coding sessions. It is known that students attend drama rehearsals and students attend neither activity. The Venn diagram represents the situation, where is the number of students who attend both activities.

Write down .
Given that , find the value of .
Find the probability that a randomly selected student attends coding sessions but not drama rehearsals. If you did not obtain an answer to part (a)(ii), use .
Determine whether and are independent events. Justify your answer.
Two students are selected at random without replacement. Find the probability that both selected students attend exactly one of the two activities.
0
Two fair four-sided dice are rolled. Each die is labelled , , , . Let be the event that the sum of the two numbers is prime. Let be the event that the product of the two numbers is even.
Find .
Find .
Find .
Determine whether and are independent events. Justify your answer.
0
A security code is generated by first selecting a number from and then selecting a number from . All ordered pairs are equally likely.
Let be the event that the product is even. Let be the event that .
Find .
Find .
Find .
Find .
The code is generated repeatedly and independently. Find the least number of codes that must be generated so that the probability of obtaining at least one code satisfying both and is greater than .
0
A survey of commuters records whether they use a bicycle, event , and whether they use a train, event , during a typical week. It is known that commuters use a bicycle, use a train, and .
Find the number of commuters who use both a bicycle and a train.
Find the number of commuters who use neither a bicycle nor a train.
commuter who does not use a bicycle is selected at random. Find the probability that this commuter uses a train.
Determine whether the events and are independent. Justify your answer.
Two commuters are selected at random without replacement. Find the probability that both commuters use exactly one of the two forms of transport.
0
A workshop uses two checks on each product. Let be the event that a product fails the visual check and the event that it fails the electronic check. For one product, , and .
Find .
Given that a product fails the visual check, find the probability that it also fails the electronic check.
Assuming the outcomes for different products are independent, find the probability that none of the products fails either check.
For a different product line, reset the event notation: let be the event that a product fails the visual check and be the event that it fails the electronic check. Let , with , and .
Find the value of .
For this different product line, determine whether and are independent. Justify your answer.
0
A transport company simulated bus journeys using its timetable model. Of these journeys, were during peak times and were off-peak. There were late peak-time journeys and late off-peak journeys.
Let be the event that a journey is during peak time, and let be the event that a journey is late.
Find the relative frequency of late journeys in the simulation.
late journey is selected at random from the simulation. Find the probability that it was during peak time.
Using the simulation results, determine whether the events and appear to be independent. Justify your answer.
For the remaining parts, assume that future journeys are independent and that each has the same probability of being late as in the simulation, . If you did not obtain this value, use .
Find the expected number of late journeys among future journeys.
Find the probability that at least one of future journeys is late.
Find the least number of future journeys needed so that the probability that at least one is late is greater than .
0
A veterinary clinic classifies cats with a particular symptom into three groups: healthy , mildly ill , and seriously ill . The prior probabilities are , and . A diagnostic test is positive with probabilities , and for cats in groups , and respectively. It is known that, given a positive test, the probability that a cat is healthy is .
Find the value of .
Using this value of , find the probability that a cat is seriously ill given that the test is positive.
0
Songs played by a music app are classified as pop, rock or jazz. The probabilities that a randomly selected song is pop, rock or jazz are , and respectively. The probability that a user skips a pop song within seconds is . The corresponding probabilities for a rock song and a jazz song are and respectively. Given that a song is skipped within seconds, the probability that it is jazz is .
Find the value of .
Find the probability that a skipped song is pop.
Determine whether the event that a song is skipped within seconds is independent of the genre of the song. Give a reason for your answer.
0
A biased coin is tossed repeatedly. The probability of obtaining heads on any toss is , where . Tosses are independent.
Write down an expression, in terms of , for the probability of obtaining exactly two heads in three tosses.
Write down an expression, in terms of , for the probability of obtaining exactly one head in three tosses.
It is given that the probability of obtaining exactly two heads in three tosses is equal to the probability of obtaining exactly one head in three tosses. Find .
Using this value of , find the probability that at least one head is obtained in four tosses.
Using this value of , the experiment of tossing the coin four times is repeated times. Find the expected number of experiments in which at least one head is obtained.
0
Ten cards are numbered to . Two cards are selected at random, one after another, without replacement. Let be the event that the sum of the two numbers is odd. Let be the event that the product of the two numbers is a multiple of .
Find .
Find .
Find .
Determine whether and are independent events. Justify your answer.
Find the probability that neither nor occurs.
0
Events and are in the same sample space. It is given that , and .
Find .
Find an expression for in terms of .
Given that , find the value of .
Using , find .
Determine whether and are independent events. Justify your answer.
0
A mineral sample is known to have come from exactly one of three sites, , and . The probabilities that it came from sites , and are , and respectively. A laboratory test records whether the sample contains a particular marker, . The probabilities of recording the marker for samples from sites , and are , and respectively.
Find .
Find . If you did not obtain an answer to part (a)(i), use .
Given that the marker was not recorded, find the probability that the sample came from site .
Determine whether the events and are independent. Justify your answer.
0
A message received by a company is either internal, , or external, . The probability that a message is internal is . An automatic filter flags a message. Let be the event that a message is flagged. It is known that and .
Write down an expression for in terms of .
Given that , determine the value of .
Using , find .
Determine whether and are independent events. Justify your answer.
0
A box contains red tokens, blue tokens and yellow tokens. Three tokens are selected at random without replacement.
Let be the event that exactly two red tokens are selected. Let be the event that at least one yellow token is selected.
Find .
In repetitions of this selection process, find the expected number of times that event occurs.
Find .
Given that exactly two red tokens are selected, find the probability that at least one yellow token is selected.
Determine whether the events and are independent. Justify your answer.
0
A box contains adult wristbands, child wristbands and VIP wristbands. Two wristbands are selected at random without replacement.
Find the probability that the two wristbands selected are of the same type.
Given that the two wristbands selected are of the same type, find the probability that they are both adult wristbands.
wristband is selected and is found to be an adult wristband. It is not replaced. Two more wristbands are then selected without replacement. Find the probability that exactly one of these two wristbands is a child wristband.
The original two-wristband selection is repeated independently. Find the least number of repetitions needed so that the probability of obtaining at least one pair of wristbands of the same type exceeds .
0
A wildlife camera records one animal at a time. The animal is classified as deer, fox or badger with probabilities , and respectively. The probability that the motion alarm is triggered is for a deer, for a fox and for a badger.
Let be the event that the alarm is triggered.
Find .
Given that the alarm is triggered, find the probability that the animal is a badger.
Given that the alarm is triggered, find the probability that the animal is either a fox or a badger.
Five alarm-triggered recordings are selected independently. Find the probability that at least one of them is a badger.
Determine whether the event that the animal is a deer is independent of the event . Justify your answer.
0
Emails received by a company are classified as personal, work-related or advertising. The probabilities of these classifications are , and respectively. The probability that an email is marked urgent is if it is personal, if it is work-related, and if it is advertising.
It is given that, for an email marked urgent, the probability that it is work-related is .
Find the value of .
For the remaining parts, use . If you did not obtain this value, use .
Find the probability that a randomly selected email is marked urgent.
Given that an email is not marked urgent, find the probability that it is personal.
Determine whether the event that an email is work-related is independent of the event that it is marked urgent. Justify your answer.
0
An insurance company classifies policies as urban, suburban or rural. The probabilities of these classifications are , and respectively. The probability that a claim is made during a year is for an urban policy, for a suburban policy and for a rural policy.
It is given that, for a policy on which a claim is made, the probability that the policy is rural is .
Find the value of .
For the remaining parts, use . If you did not obtain this value, use .
Find the probability that a randomly selected policy has a claim during the year.
Given that a claim is made, find the probability that the policy is urban.
Given that no claim is made, find the probability that the policy is suburban.
0
A drone inspects solar panels and classifies each panel into one of three states: dusty, cracked or electrical fault. For a randomly selected panel, the prior probabilities of these states are , and respectively. The drone gives a warning signal with probabilities , and respectively for these three states.

Find .
Given that the drone gives a warning signal, find the probability that the panel is cracked.
Find the probability that the panel is dusty, given that the drone does not give a warning signal.
Given that the drone gives a warning signal, find the probability that the panel has either a crack or an electrical fault.
The company will send a technician only when the posterior probability of a crack or electrical fault is greater than a threshold . Determine the values of for which the company sends a technician exactly when the drone gives a warning signal.
0
Cyclists entering a park choose one of three routes: road , gravel path or woodland trail . The probabilities that a cyclist chooses these routes are , and respectively. After rain, the probability that a cyclist is muddy is on route , on route and on route . It is observed that, given a cyclist is muddy, the probability that the cyclist used route is .

Write down an expression for in terms of , where is the event that a cyclist is muddy.
Find the value of .
Using , find the probability that a cyclist used the gravel path, given that the cyclist is not muddy.
Determine whether the events and are independent. Justify your answer.
Suppose more generally that , , , , and . Given that , show that
0
At a cafe, let be the event that a customer orders using the cafe app and let be the event that the customer buys a pastry. It is known that , and .
Event | Buys pastry | Does not buy pastry | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Uses app | 0.288 | 0.352 | 0.64 |
Does not use app | 0.36 | ||
Total | 1 |
Express , and in terms of where necessary.
Given that , find .
Use for this part.
Find .
Determine whether and are independent events. Give a reason.
For general events with , and , where , prove that and are independent if and only if .
0
A school is trialling three revision methods , and . A randomly selected student is in a class using , or with probabilities , and respectively. The probabilities that a student passes a short quiz under these methods are , and respectively. Students from the same class may be treated as independent once the method is fixed.
Revision method | P(method) | P(pass \ | method) |
|---|---|---|---|
M1 | 0.25 | 0.72 | |
M2 | 0.50 | 0.64 | |
M3 | 0.25 | 0.52 |
Find the probability that a randomly selected student passes the quiz.
Given that a student passes, find the probability that the student used method .
Two students are selected independently from the same unknown method group. Given that both pass, find the probability that the method is .
Suppose students are selected independently from the same unknown method group and all students pass. Deduce which method has posterior probability tending to as , and justify your answer.
0
One of three sealed bags , and is selected with probabilities , and respectively. Bag contains red and white discs, bag contains red and white discs, and bag contains red and white discs. Two discs are then selected without replacement from the chosen bag.

Find the probability that both selected discs are red.
Given that both selected discs are red, find the probability that bag was selected.
Find the probability that exactly one of the two selected discs is red.
Given that exactly one selected disc is red, find the probability that bag was selected.
Suppose instead that discs are selected with replacement, and consecutive selected discs are red. Deduce which bag has posterior probability tending to as .
0
A satellite image tile is classified as forest , urban or water with prior probabilities , and respectively. Two independent algorithms, conditional on the true class, each decide whether to label the tile green. Algorithm 1 labels a tile green with probabilities , and respectively for , and . Algorithm 2 labels a tile green with probabilities , and respectively.

(a)
Find the probability that algorithm 1 labels the tile green.
Given that algorithm 1 labels the tile green, find the probability that the tile is forest.
(b)
Given that both algorithms label the tile green, find the probability that the tile is forest.
Given that algorithm 1 labels the tile green but algorithm 2 does not, find the probability that the tile is water.
Explain why using two conditionally independent algorithms can give a stronger posterior conclusion than using algorithm 1 alone in this example.
0
A packet contains one seed selected from one of three greenhouses, , and . The probabilities that the seed is from , and are , and respectively. Let be the event that the seed germinates. It is known that , and .
Find an expression for in terms of .
Given that , find .
Using , find .
Using , find the probability that the seed is from , given that it does not germinate.
0
A ceramic shard is classified as being from exactly one of three periods: early, middle or late. Let these events be , and respectively. It is known that , and . A chemical trace, , is present with probabilities , and .
Find an expression for in terms of .
Given that , find .
Using , find .
Using , find .
0
A courier parcel is sent by exactly one of three routes, , and , each with probability . Let be the event that the parcel is delayed. It is known that , and .
Find an expression for in terms of .
Given that , find .
Using , find .
Determine whether is independent of , and whether is independent of .
0
A coin collector receives a coin from exactly one of three workshops, , and . The probabilities that the coin is from workshops , and are , and respectively. Let be the event that the coin has a high silver content. It is known that , and .
Find an expression for in terms of .
Given that , find .
Using , find the probability that the coin is from workshop , given that it has a high silver content.
Using , find the probability that the coin is from workshop or workshop , given that it does not have a high silver content.
0
A language-learning app classifies a user as beginner, intermediate or advanced. Initially, the probabilities of these classifications are , and respectively. The probability that a user requests a hint during a task is for a beginner, for an intermediate user and for an advanced user.
Let be the event that a user requests a hint.
Find .
Given that a user requests a hint, find the probability that the user is a beginner.
Given that a user does not request a hint, find the probability that the user is advanced.
The app is used in a different school. The probability that a user is a beginner is . The remaining users are intermediate and advanced in the ratio . Assume that , and remain unchanged in the different school. Find the value of if in this school.
0
Data packets on a network are routed through exactly one of three routers, , and . The probabilities that a packet is routed through , and are , and respectively. The probabilities that a packet is corrupted when routed through , and are , and respectively.
It is known that, given a packet is corrupted, the probability that it was routed through is .
Find the value of .
For the remaining parts, use . If you did not obtain this value, use .
Find the probability that a randomly selected packet is corrupted.
Given that a packet is not corrupted, find the probability that it was routed through .
Determine whether the event that a packet is routed through is independent of the event that it is corrupted. Justify your answer.
0
An archaeologist classifies newly discovered sites as Early, Middle or Late period. The probabilities of these classifications are , and respectively. The probability that an ornament is found at a site is for an Early site, for a Middle site and for a Late site.
Let be the event that an ornament is found.
Find .
Given that an ornament is found, find the probability that the site is Late period.
Given that no ornament is found, find the probability that the site is not Late period.
Two sites are selected independently. Given that exactly one of the two sites has an ornament, find the probability that the first site is Late period.
0
A wildlife camera is placed in one of three habitats , and with prior probabilities , and respectively. On any one night, the probability that a rare animal is detected is , and respectively in these habitats. Detections on different nights are independent once the habitat is fixed.

Find the probability that the rare animal is detected on a single night.
Given that the rare animal is detected on a single night, find the probability that the camera is in habitat .
The camera remains in the same unknown habitat for two nights. Given that the animal is detected on exactly one of the two nights, find the probability that the camera is in habitat .
Suppose the camera remains in the same unknown habitat for nights and the animal is detected on every night. Show that the posterior probability that the camera is in tends to as .
0
Fragments of pottery found at a site are believed to come from one of three kilns , and with prior probabilities , and respectively. Let be the event that a fragment has a blue glaze and be the event that it has a thin wall. The conditional probabilities are shown in the table. Within each kiln, the events and may be treated as independent.
Kiln | Prior probability | P(B\ | kiln) | P(T\ | kiln) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K1 | 0.45 | 0.20 | 0.60 | ||
K2 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 0.30 | ||
K3 | 0.15 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
Using , and , find .
Given that a fragment has blue glaze, find the probability that it came from kiln .
The probabilities of a thin wall are , and .
Find .
Given that a fragment has blue glaze and a thin wall, find the probability that it came from kiln .
Although and are independent within each kiln, determine whether and are independent for a randomly selected fragment from the whole site.
0
A lock uses a four-digit code. Each digit is chosen from , repetition is allowed and all codes are equally likely. Let be the event that the code contains at least one digit . Let be the event that the first and last digits are the same.
First digit \ Last digit | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 100 () | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 100 | 100 () | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
2 | 100 | 100 | 100 () | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
3 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 () | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
4 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 () | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 () | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 () | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
7 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 () | 100 | 100 | 100 |
8 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 () | 100 | |
9 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 () |
Find .
Find .
Determine whether and are independent.
Now consider a code of positions, with each position independently chosen from equally likely symbols, where and are integers. Let be the event that a specified symbol occurs at least once, and let be the event that the first and last symbols are equal.
Show that .
Hence prove that and are not independent for all integers and .
No response is required for this part.
0
An email filtering system classifies incoming messages as newsletter , social message or fraudulent message . The prior probabilities are , and respectively. Let be the event that the message contains a link, and let be the event that it contains an urgent word. The probabilities of are , and respectively for , and . The probabilities of are , and respectively. Conditional on the message type, and are independent.

Find .
Given that a message contains an urgent word, find the probability that it is fraudulent.
Given that a message contains both a link and an urgent word, find the probability that it is fraudulent.
Determine whether the events and are independent for a randomly selected message.
Suppose the probability of an urgent word in a fraudulent message is changed to , with all other probabilities unchanged. Determine whether there is a value of in for which .
0
A monitoring system records whether a storage tank is in a normal state or an anomalous state . It is known that and . A sensor gives an alert with probability when the state is normal and with probability when the state is anomalous. Given one alert, the posterior probability of an anomalous state is . Suppose each repeated reading has the same conditional probabilities as the sensor described above, and the readings are conditionally independent given the tank state.

Find .
For this part, use . Two repeated readings are taken from the same tank state.
Given that both readings give an alert, find the probability that the tank is anomalous.
Given that exactly one of the two readings gives an alert, find the probability that the tank is anomalous.
The same sensor is used times on the same hidden tank state; the readings are conditionally independent given the state, and all readings are alerts.
Write down the posterior probability that the tank is anomalous after alerts.
Hence show that this posterior probability tends to as .
0
A streaming platform recommends one of three categories of films to a randomly selected user: drama , comedy or documentary . The probabilities of these categories being recommended are , and respectively. Let be the event that the user clicks on the recommendation. The click probabilities are , and respectively for , and .

Find .
Given that the user clicks, find the probability that the recommendation was a comedy.
Given that the user does not click, find the probability that the recommendation was a documentary.
Determine whether the event that a user clicks is independent of the event that the recommendation is a comedy.
More generally, suppose a recommendation has one of three categories , and with positive prior probabilities , and , where . Let , where . Prove that observing does not change any of the three prior probabilities if and only if .
0